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DLRadar · Methodology

Auditable Distress Intelligence

Every score on DLRadar is computed from public-record sources by deterministic formulas. No black-box AI. No fabricated data. Every score is built from named public sources by fixed, rule-based formulas that behave the same way every time.

Deterministic scoring13 scoring engines33,775 ZIPs · 3,235 counties19 public sources
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Free aggregates refreshed every 15 minutes · plans at /pricing, monthly, cancel any time

Live coverage

Counts are live and refresh about once an hour.

33,775
ZIPs scored
3,235
Counties tracked
4,327
Banks scored
33,058
Layer 4 clusters
1,787,250
Listings tracked
983,588
Qualified ≥10% below value
54
States
27.4/100
Avg cluster score

The acquisition funnel

Every engine below feeds one of four stages. Stages compose into a single workflow.

01 · SIGNAL
Detect distress + market stress + bank pressure across every ZIP we cover
ZIP Stress · Bank Stress · Insurance Distress · 12 Distress Categories
02 · UNDERSTAND
Cluster + classify markets by phase, capital readiness, exit timing
Layer 4 Clusters · Liquidity+Exit · Market Phase · Heatmap
03 · ACCESS
Surface qualified listings + tracked opportunities per asset class
DLSpecial · Asset Opportunity · Alpha Rankings · DLLenderRadar
04 · EXECUTE
Today's actionable list + capital allocator + alerts
Daily Deals · Real-Time Deal Feed · Fund Mode allocator

13 scoring engines

Each card shows what the engine scores, the kinds of public inputs it draws on, and what it produces. The scoring rules are fixed and rule-based, so the same inputs always give the same score.

🏦Layer 4 — Capital Readiness Clusters
Surface: /bank-distress

Five-tier ZIP cluster ranking — Strong Buyers Market → Buyers Market → Watch → Monitor → High Risk — combining bank pressure, ZIP stress, vacancy, listing density, and exit timing.

Inputs
  • → Bank movement score (FDIC QoQ asset/equity delta)
  • → ZIP stress composite (3-axis)
  • → DLSpecial listing density per ZIP
  • → Vacancy/demand signal (Census ACS)
  • → Liquidity + Exit predictor band
Output: 5-tier strategy label · cluster_score 0–100 · capital_required estimate
⏱Liquidity + Exit Predictor
Surface: /bank-distress (per cluster + per property)

Time-to-exit band per cluster — how long until a buyer can resell or refinance. Used by Fund Mode to allocate capital under a budget.

Inputs
  • → DOM trajectory (median + 90th percentile)
  • → Discount-cut velocity
  • → ZIP stress + vacancy
  • → Bank movement direction
Output: exit_band · capital_strategy · time_to_exit_days_p50
📊ZIP Stress Composite (3-Axis)
Surface: /zip-stress/[zip]

Three independent axes per ZIP — Market Stress (pricing pressure), Structural Risk (long-horizon fragility), Distress Activity (events firing now).

Inputs
  • → FHFA HPI YoY + drawdown depth (market)
  • → FEMA disaster history + FEMA National Risk Index (structural)
  • → NFIP flood claims + insurance pressure (structural)
  • → Foreclosure filings + auction events (distress)
  • → CFPB DQ 30–89 / 90+ (distress)
  • → Census ACS rent burden + vacancy (structural)
Output: Composite 0–100 + 3 axes per ZCTA
💸Bank Stress + Momentum
Surface: /radar/banks · /banks/[cert]

FDIC-backed credit pressure scored per institution. Quarterly stress level + 7-day momentum delta surfaces banks moving fastest into trouble.

Inputs
  • → Equity / assets ratio
  • → ROA
  • → Asset trend QoQ
  • → Net charge-off ratio
  • → Deposit composition (volatile vs core)
  • → Branch concentration
  • → FDIC enforcement actions
Output: stress_score 0–100 · momentum delta per FDIC-insured bank
🏛DLLenderRadar — Lending Capacity
Surface: /banking/lenders · property + ZIP panels

Inverse of bank stress — banks with public financial signals suggesting capacity to deploy real-estate loans. Not a loan-approval recommendation.

Inputs
  • → Tier 1 capital ratio
  • → Liquidity ratio (cash + securities / assets)
  • → Loan-to-deposit ratio
  • → Credit quality (noncurrent loans / total loans)
  • → Loan-growth pressure (deposit growth − loan growth)
  • → Branch market fit (proximity + ZIP context)
Output: Per-bank score 0–100 · per-ZIP top lender list
🗺Heatmap Composite (6-Component)
Surface: /heatmap

Single rank per state/ZIP combining six independent stress dimensions for top-down market scanning.

Inputs
  • → FHFA HPI drawdown
  • → Climate severity (FEMA National Risk Index)
  • → Insurance pressure (NFIP rate trajectory)
  • → Institutional exposure (HUD + FHA concentration)
  • → Foreclosure activity (filings per 1k housing units)
  • → Auction event density
Output: Composite 0–100 per ZCTA and county
📈Market Phase — HPI Cycle Radar
Surface: /market-phase

Classifies every US county and ZCTA into one of five cycle phases using FHFA HPI trajectory + drawdown direction + county headwind.

Inputs
  • → FHFA HPI YoY %
  • → HPI 5-year acceleration
  • → Drawdown from local peak
  • → County headwind score
Output: 5-phase classification per ZCTA and county
🎯Asset Market Prediction
Surface: /opportunities (per asset class)

Direction label per (asset_class × county) — surfaces markets moving from EARLY to ACTIVE before inventory appears.

Inputs
  • → Macro pressure score (rates + labor + HPI)
  • → Bank stress in county
  • → Listing inventory delta (28-day)
  • → Permit activity (Census BPS 12mo)
Output: Direction label · per asset class × county
⭐Alpha Rankings (TOP_100 / TOP_200)
Surface: /opportunities · landing top alpha

Composite alpha score per EARLY county — surfaces highest-conviction emerging markets before the herd.

Inputs
  • → Macro/banking context
  • → Bank stress signals
  • → Candidate listing flow
Output: Ranked county list with alpha_score 0–100
🔍Asset Opportunity Tracker
Surface: /opportunities (5 pages)

Stage classifier per (asset_class × county) — moves opportunities through CANDIDATE → ACTIVE → WATCHING → CONTEXT_READY pipeline.

Inputs
  • → Listing density per asset class
  • → Discount % distribution
  • → Bank presence + stress
  • → Days since first signal
Output: Stage label · 5 asset class views · per-county opportunity count
🔔Real-Time Deal Feed
Surface: /new-deals · alerts

Event detection layer — flags state changes across the funnel (cluster moves to BUY_NOW, exit becomes FAST, new top deal in your ZIP).

Inputs
  • → Layer 4 cluster transitions
  • → Liquidity+Exit band changes
  • → DLSpecial new qualified rows
  • → Bank stress band changes
Output: Time-stamped event stream → bell badge + email queue
💎DLSpecial Qualification
Surface: /listings

Strict deal filter — every qualified row meets a hard discount threshold against recorded values. Thresholds are applied to recorded figures, not projections.

Inputs
  • → List price (live scraper feed)
  • → Market value (appraiser just_value or ACS-blended median)
  • → Taxable value (county tax roll)
Output: qualified flag + discount % + rule label per listing
🌊Insurance Distress (NFIP / FEMA)
Surface: ZIP stress report (insurance section)

Monthly ZCTA insurance pressure — surfaces ZIPs where insurance is becoming uneconomic (a leading abandonment signal).

Inputs
  • → NFIP claim trends (frequency × loss severity)
  • → FEMA disaster declaration density
Output: Per-ZCTA insurance score 0–100

Property signals (Florida)

Each Florida property carries a yes/no flag for each signal below, set from the named public record. A flag is set only when a record is tied to the parcel by its parcel or folio number. Coverage depends on each county's source being loaded, so a missing flag can mean no record or no feed for that county.

Foreclosure
Lis pendens and foreclosure filings in county clerk court records
Tax lien / delinquent tax
County tax-collector delinquency records
Tax deed
Tax-deed applications and sales in clerk records and sale calendars
Probate
Probate and estate filings in county clerk court records
Judgment lien
Recorded judgments in clerk records and Florida Sunbiz judgment-lien filings
IRS / federal tax lien
Federal tax-lien filings (Florida Sunbiz and clerk records)
Code lien / violation
City and county code-enforcement case records
Construction lien / violation
Recorded construction liens and building-department violation cases
HOA lien
Association lien filings in clerk records
Mortgage distress
Mortgage-default filings in clerk records
Absentee owner
Appraiser roll: owner mailing address differs from the property address
Portfolio owner
Appraiser roll: the same owner holds multiple parcels

Closed or satisfied records clear their flag on the next hourly run. Properties are ranked by how many signals are active and, for tax, how many years are owed.

Public data sources

Every signal traces to one of these. Public data only; anything labeled an estimate is a formula output, not a recorded fact.

FHFA HPI
House Price Index, monthly, county + ZCTA
https://www.fhfa.gov/HPI
FDIC Call Reports
Quarterly bank financials per certificate
https://banks.data.fdic.gov
FDIC Summary of Deposits
Annual bank branches + deposits per ZIP
https://www.fdic.gov/sod
FFIEC Call Reports
Detailed regulatory bank data
https://www.ffiec.gov/npw
Census ACS / PUMS
5-year tenure, rent burden, vacancy, income
https://www.census.gov/acs
Census BPS
Building permits, monthly per place
https://www.census.gov/construction/bps
HUD HCV / Section 8
Voucher utilization + payment standards
https://www.huduser.gov
HUD FMR
Fair Market Rents, annual
https://www.huduser.gov/portal/datasets/fmr.html
HUD Assisted Housing
Project-based subsidized properties
https://www.huduser.gov
FEMA Disaster
Declared disaster history per county
https://www.fema.gov/openfema
NFIP Claims
Flood insurance claims, redacted
https://www.fema.gov/openfema
FRED
Federal Reserve macro series (rates, labor)
https://fred.stlouisfed.org
BLS LAUS / QCEW / CES
County unemployment + payrolls
https://www.bls.gov
CFPB Mortgage Performance
DQ 30–89 + 90+ per county
https://www.consumerfinance.gov
FFIEC HMDA
Mortgage application + denial records
https://ffiec.cfpb.gov/data-browser
EPA FRS
Facility registry — industrial proximity
https://www.epa.gov/frs
Replacement-cost estimates
DLRadar formula on Census and permit data (an estimate, not a recorded fact)
Florida county records
Clerk court filings, appraiser rolls, tax-collector and code-enforcement records (Florida only; coverage varies by county)
USAuctions Public Records
Auction calendar + bid records

Reproducibility

Every score on this platform is computed by fixed, rule-based formulas from public inputs. Inside Platinum + Supreme, every property dossier shows the underlying signal values. Inside DLBankDistress + DLLenderRadar, every cluster + bank exposes its component scores. Inside DLSpecial, every qualified row shows the exact discount calculation.

Deterministic
Every score is a fixed, rule-based formula on public inputs. Forecast-style outputs are labeled as model estimates, and historical comparisons are hypothetical back-tests, not predictions.
No fabricated data
When a signal is missing, the field shows '—'. We never synthesize values.
Auditable
Every score traces back to named public sources and the signal values behind it.

Now see the system in action

The bundle that fits depends on whether you're scanning markets, accessing real listings, or executing daily.

Bundle 1 · Market Intelligence
$199/mo
  • ✓ Platinum property research
  • ✓ Radar Markets · Heatmap + prediction
  • ✓ Find pressure before listings appear
View access →
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Bundle 2 · Lead Access
$499/mo
  • ✓ Everything in Bundle 1
  • ✓ + Supreme institutional drill
  • ✓ + DLBankDistress capital readiness
  • ✓ + DLSpecial qualified listings
View access →
Bundle 3 · Execution Engine
$999/mo
  • ✓ Everything in Bundle 2
  • ✓ + Daily Deals curated queue
  • ✓ + Fund Mode capital allocator
View access →
DLRadar is an intelligence platform, not financial advice. All scores are derived from public records. Investment decisions are yours.

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