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Market Phase — HPI Cycle Radar
Classifies every US county and ZCTA into a market cycle phase using FHFA HPI YoY + drawdown trajectory and county headwind. Raw inputs preserved; only phase classification is derived.
live route in platform → /market-phase
3,150
Counties
33,643
ZCTAs
4.15%
Avg YoY (cty)
4.09%
Avg YoY (ZCTA)
2025-12-01
As of (cty)
2025-12-01
As of (ZCTA)
Counties by Phase
PEAK1,869 · 59%
EXPANSION895 · 28%
NEUTRAL294 · 9%
CONTRACTION59 · 2%
RECOVERY33 · 1%
ZCTAs by Phase
PEAK19,197 · 57%
EXPANSION11,394 · 34%
NEUTRAL1,894 · 6%
CONTRACTION784 · 2%
RECOVERY374 · 1%
Phase definitions
- PEAK — high YoY, decelerating
- EXPANSION — positive YoY, accelerating
- NEUTRAL — flat YoY ± stable drawdown
- CONTRACTION — negative YoY, deepening drawdown
- RECOVERY — drawdown narrowing, YoY turning
In-platform you also get
- • Per-county and per-ZCTA drill page
- • State + phase filters with full county table (raw HPI YoY, prior YoY, Δ, drawdown, headwind, source, phase, confidence)
- • Cross-link to Radar Markets, BankDistress, DLSpecial
- • Methodology page with deterministic thresholds
Full deal access is restricted
- •Property-level details
- •Advanced filtering and export
- •Daily execution lists
Available only to active users.